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Alexis International Ltd.
 
Alexis International Ltd.

World View

We believe that the world has become an irreversible different and much more difficult place to work in. Today a banality, it was not a widely shared view in 1989-90, when we first predicted the onset of worldwide systemic change.

We believe, that the bursting of the .com investment bubble and the September 11. 2001 terrorist incident only accelerated this systemic, political and economic change process that had been on the horizon long before both incidents took place. However, and as always, poorly understood and ignored by most decision makers.

The same kind of ignorance by the same decision makers was once more witnessed with the onset of the global financial meltdown (we had been predicting this to happen ever since 2003) that actually started to unfold around July/August 2007. This developing, global crisis is leading up to a system freeze occurring anytime during the second half of 2008. Starting with North America we shall see an event driven scenario spreading around the globe. Once this all unfolds we expect a total economic collapse by the end of 2009, leading to mass panics, and then likely leading up to civil unrests developing into civil wars anytime around 2010.

Only those who do not know will be the ones, who will be constantly taken by surprise.

The "new world" of today can be characterized in a hundred and one valid ways. For us, the "new" factors are:

-- accelerating change

-- rising uncertainty

-- increased levels of risk

-- greater likelihood of policy failure or organizational breakdown.

This means that organizations of every stripe can no longer be assured of success, profitability, or even survival simply by doing what they have been doing in the same old way. Conversely, change and uncertainty can produce sudden, often strategic opportunities that those not so attuned simply miss, often to their organization’s irretrievable loss.

We at ALEXIS believe that in such circumstances any organization’s Strategic Policy, Strategic planning can be envisioned-- let alone carried out-- without factoring in the "political dimension", and involving the governments concerned and/or their relevant agencies from the beginning. Conversely, we do not believe governments can implement any transnational policy having concrete operational characteristics without appropriate private sector involvement. Unfortunately, private and public sectors do not know how to deal with each other effectively on most project management issues, especially transnational ones.

Finally, we are convinced that classical or established channels of communication among organizations are today either largely nonfunctional or so bureaucratically clogged that they no longer produce anything approaching the desired results. In fact, inter- and intra-organizational communication problems often become the principal obstacles to task accomplishment.

We say the above of governments, private sector enterprises, social service producing entities and multilateral organizations. To prove our point, we ask our readers simply to apply these general statements to whatever specific situation may come to mind, preferably to one for which he or she may be directly responsible. We wager that the "fit" in most cases will be close, perhaps exact.

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